Ashlyn Krueger vs Gabriela Andrea KnutsonWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#96WTA
1779ELO
1711Grass ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWLWWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
1530ELO
1503Grass ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWLWLL
Krueger A.
vs
Knutson G.

Ashlyn Krueger faces Gabriela Andrea Knutson in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Ashlyn Krueger holds the paper edge — defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 210-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Krueger A.87%
Knutson G.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Krueger A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+208 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Grass Elo 1503
7.5Overall Elo 1779
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1530
7.8Leads 2–0 on grass
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on grass
8.58 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on grass
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.1
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.6
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Krueger A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Knutson G.

Knutson G.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
53
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
80
Break points won·Clear edge
85
69
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
49
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
100

Krueger A.: 8 days rest · 5 matches (14d) · Knutson G.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.