Xiyu Wang vs Hanyu GuoWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#86WTA
1749ELO
1572Grass ELO
25 yrs · 182 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWLLLW
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#159WTA
1591ELO
1482Grass ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLLLW
Wang X.
vs
Guo H.

Xiyu Wang faces Hanyu Guo in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Xiyu Wang holds the paper edge — ranked #86, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 90-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Wang X.83%
Guo H.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Wang X. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Xiyu Wang comes in with 1 days of rest and 126 games in 14d, vs Hanyu Guo's 15 and 0.
  • Head-to-head: Xiyu Wang leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Beijing 2025.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
6.1+90 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Grass Elo 1482
6.3Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1591
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.04 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Wang X.Cooling
Guo H.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
76%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
54%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.4
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Wang X.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Guo H.

Guo H.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Wang X.

Serve advantage — Wang X.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
60
58
Break points saved·Dominant
87
25
Break points won·Slight edge
91
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
94
Tiebreaks·
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
61
100

Wang X.: 1 day rest · 6 matches, 101 games (7d) · Guo H.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24BeijingR128hardXiyu Wang7-5 6-1