Julia Riera vs Fiona CrawleyWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#182WTA
1541ELO
1437Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWWWL
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#232WTA
1591ELO
1471Grass ELO
24 yrs
Last 10
WLWLWWLWLW
Riera J.
vs
Crawley F.

Julia Riera faces Fiona Crawley in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Julia Riera holds the paper edge — ranked #182.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Riera J.35%
Crawley F.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Crawley F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1437
Surface ELO
5.4+33 Grass Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1541
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1591
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.53 of last 6 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Riera J.Stable
Crawley F.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
49%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
0.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.8
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Riera J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Crawley F.

Crawley F.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Riera J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals