Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Leolia Jeanjean — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
Ekaterine Gorgodze
GEO
Ekaterine Gorgodze
#219WTA
1462ELO
1416Grass ELO
34 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWWLLLLLL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
FRA
Leolia Jeanjean
#133WTA
1653ELO
1501Grass ELO
30 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLWWLWW
Gorgodze E.
vs
Jeanjean L.

Ekaterine Gorgodze faces Leolia Jeanjean in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Leolia Jeanjean holds the paper edge — ranked #133, a roughly 90-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Gorgodze E.14%
Jeanjean L.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Jeanjean L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gorgodze E.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Jeanjean L.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.9Grass Elo 1416
Surface ELO
6.1+85 Grass Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1462
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1653
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.33 of last 7 on grass
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Gorgodze E.Stable
Jeanjean L.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

29 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
Gorgodze E.Jeanjean L.
1st serve in·Clear edge
76%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
55%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
50%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gorgodze E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Jeanjean L.

Jeanjean L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Gorgodze E.

Serve advantage — Jeanjean L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Gorgodze E.Jeanjean L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
24
80
Break points saved·Dominant
20
75
Break points won·Slight edge
83
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
23
92
Tiebreaks·
90
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Gorgodze E.Jeanjean L.
Freshness·Dominant
73
100

Gorgodze E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Jeanjean L.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
34°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 42%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Timofeeva M.
Osuigwe W.
6-16-4
Rus A.
Podrez V.
4-64-6
Monnet C.
Prozorova T.
2-64-6
Watson H.
Sherif M.
6-26-2
Krueger A.
Knutson G.
7-57-5
Hontama M.
Urhobo A.
7-666-3
Iatcenko P.
Romero Gormaz L.
6-06-3
Bai Z.
Zidansek T.
6-27-5
Korneeva A.
Shubladze A.
2-67-626-3
Brancaccio N.
Lazaro Garcia A.
3-64-6
Riera J.
D. Britton
2-66-26-4
Crawley F.
Sakatsume H.[19]
7-54-67-68
Wang X.
Guo H.
7-646-3
Radivojevic L.
Bassols Ribera M.
7-6102-66-77
Dolehide C.
Montgomery R.
4-66-71
Mcdonald E.
Kalieva E.
6-36-744-6
Volynets K.
Samson L.
7-656-1
Miyazaki Y.
Yaneva E.
2-64-6
Gorgodze E.
Valdmannova V.
6-27-62
You X.
Jeanjean L.
6-42-63-6
Semenistaja D.[6]
Siskova A.
7-621-67-5
Hon P.
Hibino N.
2-62-6
Lepchenko V.
Gasanova A.
6-21-66-710
Fruhvirtova L.
Jones E.[29]
2-61-6
Quevedo K.[7]
Ishii S.
6-06-3
Papamichail D.
Liu C.
2-61-6
Tubello A.
Pridankina E.
2-60-6
Rajecki A.
Lamens S.[27]
3-65-7
Uchijima M.
Adeshina E.
1-66-35-7
Tan H.
Pohankova M.
7-632-66-1
Naef C.
Garland J.
6-35-74-6
Grant T.
Preston T.[18]
6-12-66-4
Sun L.[9]
Klimovicova L.
7-637-5
Pigossi L.
Dodin O.
5-74-6
Koevermans A.
Sawangkaew M.
3-66-14-6
Cross K.
Stoiana M.[25]
3-64-6
Galfi D.[10]
Jorge F.
6-753-6
Fita Boluda A.
Gjorcheska L.
2-64-6
Mikulskyte J.
Zhao C.
6-37-66
Inglis M.
Bronzetti L.
3-66-34-6
Kudermetova P.[11]
Ponchet J.
1-66-26-3
Friedsam A.
Ngounoue C.
3-65-7
Rame A.
Uebelhoer C.
3-67-52-6
Mandlik E.
Charaeva A.
2-64-6
Grabher J.
Bolkvadze M.
4-66-76
Kinoshita H.
Tomova V.
7-56-3
Carle M.
Havlickova L.
7-55-76-4
Vandromme J.
Yuan Y.
4-66-06-2
Salkova D.[13]
Shymanovich I.
6-756-34-6
Minnen G.
Ferro F.
6-36-1
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
Ortenzi J.
Noha Akugue N.
Pigato L.[28]
7-626-3
Kawa K.
Bandecchi S.
6-16-3
Giovannini L.
Stefanini L.
6-766-75
Ma Y.
Andreeva E.
0-63-6
Brace C.
Day K.[32]
4-63-6
Sasnovich A.
Dunne K.
1-66-36-2
S. Hunter
Costoulas S.
7-56-4
Andreescu B.
Hercog P.
6-46-2
Masarova R.
Teichmann J.
6-724-6
Sramkova R.
Hruncakova V.
7-657-63
Ku Y.
Kostovic T.
1-64-6
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Lee C.
6-44-66-3
Barthel M.
Zhu L.
4-63-6
Timofeeva M.
Podrez V.
Prozorova T.
Watson H.
Krueger A.
Hontama M.
Iatcenko P.
Bai Z.
Korneeva A.
Lazaro Garcia A.
Riera J.
Crawley F.
Wang X.
Bassols Ribera M.
Montgomery R.
Kalieva E.
Volynets K.
E. Yaneva
Gorgodze E.
Jeanjean L.
Semenistaja D.
Hibino N.
Gasanova A.
Jones E.
Quevedo K.
Liu C.
Pridankina E.
Lamens S.
Adeshina E.
Tan H.
Garland J.
Grant T.
Sun L.
Dodin O.
Sawangkaew M.
Stoiana M.
Jorge F.
Gjorcheska L.
Mikulskyte J.
Bronzetti L.
Kudermetova P.
Ngounoue C.
Uebelhoer C.
Charaeva A.
Bolkvadze M.
Kinoshita H.
Carle M.
Vandromme J.
Shymanovich I.
Minnen G.
Sebov K.
Noha Akugue N.
Kawa K.
Stefanini L.
Andreeva E.
Day K.
Sasnovich A.
S. Hunter
Andreescu B.
Teichmann J.
Sramkova R.
Kostovic T.
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Zhu L.