Claire Liu vs Elena Pridankina — Wimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
Claire Liu
USA
Claire Liu
#145WTA
1640ELO
1499Grass ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWWWW
—
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
RUS
Elena Pridankina
#206WTA
1515ELO
1364Grass ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWLWW
Liu C.
vs
Pridankina E.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Liu C.80%
Pridankina E.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Liu C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Liu C.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Pridankina E.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.7+136 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Grass Elo 1364
5.9Overall Elo 1640
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1515
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.34 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Liu C.Stable
Pridankina E.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
Liu C.Pridankina E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
43%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
48%
48%
Break points saved·Even
54%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Liu C.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Pridankina E.

Pridankina E.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Liu C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Liu C.Pridankina E.
Freshness·Even
90
91

Liu C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Pridankina E.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
29°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Timofeeva M.[1]
Osuigwe W.
6-16-4
Rus A.
Podrez V.
4-64-6
Monnet C.
Prozorova T.
2-64-6
Watson H.
Sherif M.[21]
6-26-2
Krueger A.[2]
Knutson G.
7-57-5
Hontama M.
Urhobo A.
7-666-3
Iatcenko P.
Romero Gormaz L.
6-06-3
Bai Z.
Zidansek T.[26]
6-27-5
Korneeva A.
Shubladze A.
2-67-626-3
Brancaccio N.
Lazaro Garcia A.
3-64-6
Riera J.
D. Britton
2-66-26-4
Crawley F.
Sakatsume H.[19]
7-54-67-68
Wang X.
Guo H.
7-646-3
Radivojevic L.
Bassols Ribera M.
7-6102-66-77
Dolehide C.
Montgomery R.
4-66-71
Mcdonald E.
Kalieva E.[31]
6-36-744-6
Volynets K.[5]
Samson L.
7-656-1
Miyazaki Y.
Yaneva E.
2-64-6
Gorgodze E.
Valdmannova V.
6-27-62
You X.
Jeanjean L.[23]
6-42-63-6
Semenistaja D.[6]
Siskova A.
7-621-67-5
Hon P.
Hibino N.
2-62-6
Lepchenko V.
Gasanova A.
6-21-66-710
Fruhvirtova L.
Jones E.[29]
2-61-6
Quevedo K.[7]
Ishii S.
6-06-3
Papamichail D.
Liu C.
2-61-6
Tubello A.
Pridankina E.
2-60-6
Rajecki A.
Lamens S.[27]
3-65-7
Uchijima M.
Adeshina E.
1-66-35-7
Tan H.
Pohankova M.
7-632-66-1
Naef C.
Garland J.
6-35-74-6
Grant T.
Preston T.[18]
6-12-66-4
Sun L.[9]
Klimovicova L.
7-637-5
Pigossi L.
Dodin O.
5-74-6
Koevermans A.
Sawangkaew M.
3-66-14-6
Cross K.
Stoiana M.[25]
3-64-6
Galfi D.[10]
Jorge F.
6-753-6
Fita Boluda A.
Gjorcheska L.
2-64-6
Mikulskyte J.
Zhao C.
6-37-66
Inglis M.
Bronzetti L.[20]
3-66-34-6
Kudermetova P.[11]
Ponchet J.
1-66-26-3
Friedsam A.
Ngounoue C.
3-65-7
Rame A.
Uebelhoer C.
3-67-52-6
Mandlik E.
Charaeva A.[22]
2-64-6
Grabher J.[12]
Bolkvadze M.
4-66-76
Kinoshita H.
Tomova V.
7-56-3
Carle M.
Havlickova L.
7-55-76-4
Vandromme J.
Yuan Y.
4-66-06-2
Salkova D.[13]
Shymanovich I.
6-756-34-6
Minnen G.
Ferro F.
6-36-1
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
Ortenzi J.
Noha Akugue N.
Pigato L.[28]
7-626-3
Kawa K.[14]
Bandecchi S.
6-16-3
Giovannini L.
Stefanini L.
6-766-75
Ma Y.
Andreeva E.
0-63-6
Brace C.
Day K.[32]
4-63-6
Sasnovich A.[15]
Dunne K.
1-66-36-2
S. Hunter
Costoulas S.
7-56-4
Andreescu B.
Hercog P.
6-46-2
Masarova R.
Teichmann J.[24]
6-724-6
Sramkova R.[16]
Hruncakova V.
7-657-63
Ku Y.
Kostovic T.
1-64-6
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Lee C.
6-44-66-3
Barthel M.
Zhu L.[30]
4-63-6
Timofeeva M.
Podrez V.
Prozorova T.
Watson H.
6-5
Krueger A.
Hontama M.
6-3 0-2
Iatcenko P.
Bai Z.
Korneeva A.
Lazaro Garcia A.
6-26-757-5
Riera J.
Crawley F.
2-66-36-71
Wang X.
Bassols Ribera M.
Montgomery R.
Kalieva E.[31]
Volynets K.
E. Yaneva
6-1 3-2
Gorgodze E.
Jeanjean L.
3-62-6
Semenistaja D.
Hibino N.
6-4 1-6 0-0
Gasanova A.
Jones E.[29]
5-76-46-3
Quevedo K.
Liu C.
4-64-6
Pridankina E.
Lamens S.
7-54-66-3
Adeshina E.
Tan H.
2-62-6
Garland J.
Grant T.
4-64-6
Sun L.
Dodin O.
6-7106-75
Sawangkaew M.
Stoiana M.
2-66-47-5
Jorge F.
Gjorcheska L.
7-5 2-6 1-3
Mikulskyte J.
Bronzetti L.
3-63-6
Kudermetova P.
Ngounoue C.
Uebelhoer C.
Charaeva A.
Bolkvadze M.
Kinoshita H.
Carle M.
Vandromme J.
4-4
Shymanovich I.
Minnen G.
6-46-2
Sebov K.
Noha Akugue N.
6-45-77-5
Kawa K.
Stefanini L.
6-42-66-2
Andreeva E.
Day K.
2-62-6
Sasnovich A.
S. Hunter
5-7 4-1
Andreescu B.
Teichmann J.[24]
6.0-6.2
Sramkova R.[16]
Kostovic T.
6-4 0-0
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Zhu L.
2-63-6
—
—
Korneeva A.
Crawley F.
—
—
Jeanjean L.
—
Gasanova A.
Liu C.
Pridankina E.
Tan H.
Grant T.
Dodin O.
Sawangkaew M.
—
Bronzetti L.
—
—
Shymanovich I.
Sebov K.
Kawa K.
Day K.
—
—
Zhu L.