Polina Iatcenko vs Leyre Romero GormazWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#155WTA
1624ELO
1627Grass ELO
22 yrs
Last 10
LLLWWLWWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#142WTA
1601ELO
1446Grass ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWWW
Iatcenko P.
vs
Romero Gormaz L.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Iatcenko P.72%
Romero Gormaz L.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Iatcenko P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
7.3+181 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Grass Elo 1446
4.5Overall Elo 1624
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1601
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Iatcenko P.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Romero Gormaz L.

Romero Gormaz L.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Iatcenko P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Romero Gormaz L.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.