Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sayaka IshiiWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#106WTA
1732ELO
1541Grass ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#685WTA
1387ELO
1331Grass ELO
20 yrs
Last 10
LLLLLLWLWL
Quevedo K.
vs
Ishii S.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Quevedo K.93%
Ishii S.7%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Quevedo K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+210 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Grass Elo 1331
8.6Overall Elo 1732
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1387
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.44 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Ishii S.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
53%
51%
Aces / match·Even
2.9
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Quevedo K.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Ishii S.

Ishii S.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Quevedo K.

Serve advantage — Quevedo K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
100

Quevedo K.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Ishii S.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.