Nuria Brancaccio vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
Brancaccio N.
Nuria Brancaccio faces Andrea Lazaro Garcia in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Andrea Lazaro Garcia holds the paper edge — ranked #150, a roughly 80-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Lazaro Garcia A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Nuria Brancaccio 87 games in 14 days, Andrea Lazaro Garcia 18.
- Under pressure: Andrea Lazaro Garcia has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 38 vs Nuria Brancaccio's 12).
Umpiry Score
Pre-match- Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
- Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBrancaccio N.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Lazaro Garcia A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.