Francisca Jorge vs Lina Gjorcheska — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
POR
Francisca Jorge
#226WTA
1548ELO
1479Grass ELO
26 yrs
Last 10
WLLWWWWLWL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
Lina Gjorcheska
MKD
Lina Gjorcheska
#223WTA
1482ELO
1427Grass ELO
31 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLWWLL
Jorge F.
vs
Gjorcheska L.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Jorge F.67%
Gjorcheska L.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jorge F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jorge F.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Gjorcheska L.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+52 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Grass Elo 1427
4.9Overall Elo 1548
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1482
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Jorge F.Rising
Gjorcheska L.Sliding

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

20 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
Jorge F.Gjorcheska L.
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
37%
Service points won·Even
56%
53%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
50%
53%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
6.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Jorge F.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gjorcheska L.

Gjorcheska L.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Jorge F.

Serve advantage — Jorge F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Jorge F.Gjorcheska L.
Freshness·
94
—

Jorge F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Timofeeva M.
Osuigwe W.
3-1
Rus A.
Podrez V.
2-2
Monnet C.
Prozorova T.
2-63-4
Watson H.
Sherif M.
2-1
Krueger A.
Knutson G.
7-57-5
Hontama M.
Urhobo A.
7-662-2
Iatcenko P.
Romero Gormaz L.
6-06-3
Bai Z.
Zidansek T.
6-27-5
Korneeva A.
Shubladze A.
2-67-626-3
Brancaccio N.
Lazaro Garcia A.
3-64-6
Riera J.
D. Britton
2-66-26-4
Crawley F.
Sakatsume H.[19]
7-54-67-68
Wang X.
Guo H.
Radivojevic L.
Bassols Ribera M.
7-6101-1
Dolehide C.
Montgomery R.
3-4
Mcdonald E.
Kalieva E.
Volynets K.
Samson L.
7-656-1
Miyazaki Y.
Yaneva E.
2-64-6
Gorgodze E.
Valdmannova V.
6-27-62
You X.
Jeanjean L.
5-4
Semenistaja D.[6]
Siskova A.
7-621-67-5
Hon P.
Hibino N.
2-62-6
Lepchenko V.
Gasanova A.
6-21-66-710
Fruhvirtova L.
Jones E.[29]
2-61-6
Quevedo K.[7]
Ishii S.
6-06-3
Papamichail D.
Liu C.
2-61-6
Tubello A.
Pridankina E.
2-60-6
Rajecki A.
Lamens S.[27]
3-65-7
Uchijima M.
Adeshina E.
1-66-35-7
Tan H.
Pohankova M.
7-632-66-1
Naef C.
Garland J.
6-35-74-6
Grant T.
Preston T.[18]
6-12-66-4
Sun L.[9]
Klimovicova L.
7-637-5
Pigossi L.
Dodin O.
5-74-6
Koevermans A.
Sawangkaew M.
3-66-14-6
Cross K.
Stoiana M.[25]
3-64-6
Galfi D.[10]
Jorge F.
6-753-6
Fita Boluda A.
Gjorcheska L.
2-64-6
Mikulskyte J.
Zhao C.
6-37-66
Inglis M.
Bronzetti L.
3-66-34-6
Kudermetova P.[11]
Ponchet J.
1-66-26-3
Friedsam A.
Ngounoue C.
3-5
Rame A.
Uebelhoer C.
3-67-52-6
Mandlik E.
Charaeva A.
2-64-6
Grabher J.
Bolkvadze M.
4-4
Kinoshita H.
Tomova V.
Carle M.
Havlickova L.
1-2
Vandromme J.
Yuan Y.
Salkova D.[13]
Shymanovich I.
6-756-34-6
Minnen G.
Ferro F.
6-36-1
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
Ortenzi J.
Noha Akugue N.
Pigato L.[28]
7-626-3
Kawa K.
Bandecchi S.
6-16-3
Giovannini L.
Stefanini L.
6-766-75
Ma Y.
Andreeva E.
0-63-6
Brace C.
Day K.[32]
4-63-6
Sasnovich A.
Dunne K.
1-66-32-1
S. Hunter
Costoulas S.
7-56-4
Andreescu B.
Hercog P.
6-46-2
Masarova R.
Teichmann J.
6-724-6
Sramkova R.
Hruncakova V.
6-64
Ku Y.
Kostovic T.
1-62-2
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Lee C.
Barthel M.
Zhu L.
3-1