Caroline Uebelhoer vs Alina CharaevaWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#262WTA
1432ELO
1391Grass ELO
30 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#112WTA
1694ELO
1557Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
Uebelhoer C.
7-5 4-6 0-6
Charaeva A.
Uebelhoer C.
7401
Charaeva A.
5662

Alina Charaeva defeated Caroline Uebelhoer in the semifinals of Wimbledon on grass. Charaeva won 5-7, 6-4, 6-0, with 4 aces and 9 double faults to Uebelhoer's 2 aces and 5 double faults. Charaeva converted 58% of her break points and won 7 service breaks to Uebelhoer's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
59%
Return points won·Even
46%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Uebelhoer C.12%
Charaeva A.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Charaeva A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1500
Surface ELO
5.1+9 Grass Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1511
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1590
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.85 of last 9 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
99

Uebelhoer C.: 17 days rest · Charaeva A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
34°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw