Maddison Inglis vs Lucia Bronzetti — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
Inglis M.
Maddison Inglis faces Lucia Bronzetti in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Lucia Bronzetti holds the paper edge — ranked #127, defending last year's round of 64.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Inglis M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Maddison Inglis comes in with 13 days of rest and 30 games in 14d, vs Lucia Bronzetti's 8 and 120.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Lucia Bronzetti has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 52 vs 25).
- Stage: Lucia Bronzetti defends last year's round of 64.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadInglis M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bronzetti L.: 8 days rest · 5 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.