Robin Montgomery vs Elvina KalievaWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#195WTA
1739ELO
1732Grass ELO
21 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#132WTA
1569ELO
1419Grass ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
Montgomery R.
6-2 6-2
Kalieva E.
Montgomery R.
662
Kalieva E.
220

Robin Montgomery defeated Elvina Kalieva in the semifinals of Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 6-2, 6-2. Montgomery served 5 aces and committed 1 double fault, while Kalieva had 4 aces and 5 double faults. Montgomery converted 67% of her break points and won 4 service breaks to Kalieva's 0.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-06W80 Rancho Santa FeR16hardElvina Kalieva6-2 2-6 7-6(1)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.0
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.1
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
18
Break points saved·Dominant
81
28
Break points won·Dominant
44
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
36
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Montgomery R.84%
Kalieva E.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Montgomery R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.5+120 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Grass Elo 1479
6.3Overall Elo 1616
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1508
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
9.49 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on grass
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Kalieva E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
35°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw