Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mary StoianaWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#111WTA
1696ELO
1592Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#124WTA
1656ELO
1598Grass ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
Sawangkaew M.
2-6 6-4 7-5
Stoiana M.
Sawangkaew M.
2672
Stoiana M.
6451

Mananchaya Sawangkaew defeated Mary Stoiana in the semifinals of Wimbledon, 2-6, 6-4, 7-5. Sawangkaew secured 7 service breaks in the match, while Stoiana achieved 8. The win advanced Sawangkaew to the final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Sawangkaew M.55%
Stoiana M.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Grass Elo 1514
Surface ELO
5.2+19 Grass Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1623
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1581
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
86

Sawangkaew M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Stoiana M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw