Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mary Stoiana — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final
Sawangkaew M.
Mananchaya Sawangkaew faces Mary Stoiana in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Mary Stoiana holds the paper edge — ranked #131. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Mananchaya Sawangkaew 0 games in 14 days, Mary Stoiana 84.
- Surface form: Both 7 of 10 on grass recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadSawangkaew M.: 15 days rest · Stoiana M.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.