Dalma Galfi vs Francisca JorgeWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#115WTA
1691ELO
1616Grass ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWLWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#226WTA
1548ELO
1479Grass ELO
26 yrs
Last 10
LLWWWWLWLL
Galfi D.
vs
Jorge F.

Dalma Galfi faces Francisca Jorge in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Dalma Galfi holds the paper edge — ranked #115, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 140-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Galfi D.84%
Jorge F.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Galfi D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
6.7+136 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Grass Elo 1479
6.3Overall Elo 1691
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1548
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Hard → Grass
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Galfi D.Stable
Jorge F.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Galfi D.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Jorge F.

Jorge F.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Galfi D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
50
52
Break points saved·Dominant
84
42
Break points won·Slight edge
79
69
Deciding sets·Dominant
62
89
Tiebreaks·
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
93

Galfi D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Jorge F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.