Katherine Sebov vs Noma Noha AkugueWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#231WTA
1407ELO
1364Grass ELO
27 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#137WTA
1624ELO
1430Grass ELO
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
Sebov K.
6-4 5-7 7-5
Noha Akugue N.
Sebov K.
6572
Noha Akugue N.
4751

Katherine Sebov defeated Noma Noha Akugue in the semifinals of Wimbledon, advancing with a 6-4, 5-7, 7-5 victory. Sebov won 6 service breaks to Akugue's 5. The win moves Sebov into the final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
78%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.7
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
51
57
Break points saved·Dominant
53
80
Break points won·Even
83
84
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
35
Tiebreaks·
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Sebov K.21%
Noha Akugue N.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Noha Akugue N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+29 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Grass Elo 1475
4.3Overall Elo 1526
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1581
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.62 of last 9 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
73

Sebov K.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Noha Akugue N.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw