Katherine Sebov vs Noma Noha AkugueWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#245WTA
1458ELO
1389Grass ELO
27 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLWLLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#152WTA
1629ELO
1436Grass ELO
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWLWWW
Sebov K.
vs
Noha Akugue N.

Katherine Sebov faces Noma Noha Akugue in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Noma Noha Akugue holds the paper edge — ranked #152, a roughly 50-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Sebov K.19%
Noha Akugue N.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Noha Akugue N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.4Grass Elo 1389
Surface ELO
5.6+47 Grass Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1458
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1629
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.72 of last 9 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 36 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
79%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.7
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sebov K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Noha Akugue N.

Noha Akugue N.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Sebov K.

Serve advantage — Noha Akugue N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
46
63
Break points saved·Dominant
53
80
Break points won·Even
83
84
Deciding sets·Slight edge
55
49
Tiebreaks·
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
94

Sebov K.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Noha Akugue N.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals