Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucrezia StefaniniWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#121WTA
1668ELO
1547Grass ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLLLW
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#163WTA
1538ELO
1497Grass ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWLLLL
Kawa K.
vs
Stefanini L.

Katarzyna Kawa faces Lucrezia Stefanini in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Katarzyna Kawa is the paper favourite — ranked #121, a roughly 50-point grass Elo advantage — but Lucrezia Stefanini has won their only previous meeting, though none on grass.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+49 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Grass Elo 1497
6.0Overall Elo 1668
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1538
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.56 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on grass
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Kawa K.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
62%
76%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
55%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
52%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
1.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kawa K.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Stefanini L.

Stefanini L.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kawa K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
50
32
Break points saved·Slight edge
16
26
Break points won·Even
93
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
85
65
Tiebreaks·Dominant
79
9

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
92

Kawa K.: 9 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Stefanini L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-16MonastirR16hardLucrezia Stefanini6-4 6-1

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals