Lucrezia Stefanini vs Katarzyna Kawa — Monastir Round of 16

Monastir · WTA · Round of 16
Lucrezia Stefanini
ITA
Lucrezia Stefanini
#163WTA
1527ELO
1497Hard ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 October 2023
hard
Katarzyna Kawa
POL
Katarzyna Kawa
#119WTA
1664ELO
1489Hard ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Stefanini L.
6-4 6-1
Kawa K.
Stefanini L.
662
Kawa K.
410

Lucrezia Stefanini defeated Katarzyna Kawa 6-4 6-1 in the Monastir round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Katarzyna Kawa came in ranked #119, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Lucrezia Stefanini claimed a first win over Katarzyna Kawa in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-24WimbledonSFgrassKatarzyna Kawa6-4 2-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Stefanini L.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kawa K.

Kawa K.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Stefanini L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Stefanini L.Kawa K.
1st serve in·Clear edge
72%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (152 vs 140). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Stefanini L.Kawa K.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
32
51
Break points saved·Slight edge
26
15
Break points won·Even
96
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
19
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Stefanini L.
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
Kawa K.
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 399 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+8 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1489
4.1Overall Elo 1527
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1664
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
2.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Stefanini L.Kawa K.
Freshness·Clear edge
77
94

Stefanini L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d) · Kawa K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Mertens E.[2]
Paolini J.[1]
6-36-0
Semi-finals
Mertens E.[2]
Burel C.[8]
6-26-1
Paolini J.[1]
Tsurenko L.[4]
6-24-66-2
Quarter-finals
Mertens E.[2]
Hontama M.
6-36-2
Paolini J.[1]
Bronzetti L.[6]
7-57-63
Tsurenko L.[4]
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-36-2
Burel C.[8]
Stefanini L.
6-36-1
R16
Stefanini L.
Kawa K.
6-46-1
Paolini J.[1]
Marcinko P.
6-43-66-2
Bronzetti L.[6]
Errani S.
6-36-4
Parrizas Diaz N.
Zavatska K.
4-67-56-2
Hontama M.
Podoroska N.
6-26-1
Mertens E.[2]
Shymanovich I.
6-36-2
Tsurenko L.[4]
Liu C.
6-17-5
Burel C.[8]
Andreeva E.
6-05-77-62
R32
Stefanini L.
Rosatello C.
5-76-36-1
Paolini J.[1]
Cornet A.
6-46-2
Errani S.
Zidansek T.
6-26-766-3
Bronzetti L.[6]
Kucova K.
6-16-1
Tsurenko L.[4]
Paquet C.
6-26-3
Liu C.
Bektas E.
6-27-65
Parrizas Diaz N.
Frech M.[7]
6-20-66-4
Burel C.[8]
Bucsa C.
6-26-2
Andreeva E.
Semenistaja D.
6-26-0
Kawa K.
Trevisan M.[3]
6-33-67-5
Podoroska N.
Schmiedlova A.[5]
3-66-47-5
Shymanovich I.
Pigossi L.
6-36-2
Mertens E.[2]
Eala A.
7-56-0
Hontama M.
Bolsova A.
4-66-46-0
Marcinko P.
Bassols Ribera M.
7-676-2
Zavatska K.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-4