Bianca Andreescu vs Polona HercogWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#180WTA
1719ELO
1602Grass ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLLWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#225WTA
1590ELO
1523Grass ELO
35 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWLWW
Andreescu B.
vs
Hercog P.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Andreescu B.76%
Hercog P.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Andreescu B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.0+80 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Grass Elo 1523
5.4Overall Elo 1719
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1590
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.45 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
4.5Won 41% in GBR (22)
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
51%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Andreescu B.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Hercog P.

Hercog P.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Andreescu B.

Serve advantage — Hercog P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
82
47
Break points saved·Clear edge
90
68
Break points won·Clear edge
89
75
Deciding sets·Dominant
84
44
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Andreescu B.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.