Arantxa Rus vs Veronika PodrezWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#178WTA
1518ELO
1413Grass ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLWLLL
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#144WTA
1649ELO
1469Grass ELO
19 yrs
Last 10
LLLWWLWLWW
Rus A.
vs
Podrez V.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Rus A.21%
Podrez V.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Podrez V. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
4.3Grass Elo 1413
Surface ELO
5.7+56 Grass Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1518
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1649
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.02 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Rus A.Stable
Podrez V.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
75%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
49%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
4.1
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rus A.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Podrez V.

Podrez V.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rus A.

Serve advantage — Podrez V.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Podrez V.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.