Ashlyn Krueger vs Mai HontamaWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#67WTA
1791ELO
1717Grass ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#189WTA
1480ELO
1386Grass ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWWL
Krueger A.
6-3 5-7 6-3
Hontama M.
Krueger A.
6562
Hontama M.
3731

Ashlyn Krueger defeated Mai Hontama in the Wimbledon semifinals, advancing with a 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 victory. Krueger hit 13 aces to Hontama's zero and won 7 service breaks to Hontama's 5. Krueger converted 41% of her break points, while Hontama converted 45%.

Key context

  • Match story: Ashlyn Krueger closed it out in three sets, 6–3 5–7 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-11OsakaSFhardAshlyn Krueger6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
51%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.5
0.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
29
Break points saved·Clear edge
41
27
Break points won·Clear edge
83
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
85
28
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
57
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Krueger A.92%
Hontama M.8%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Krueger A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.2+96 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Grass Elo 1499
7.7Overall Elo 1731
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1515
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
9.29 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.36 of last 10 on grass
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
80

Krueger A.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Hontama M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw