Ashlyn Krueger vs Mai HontamaOsaka Semi-final

Osaka · WTA · Semi-final
#102WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 September 2023
hard
#204WTA
1480ELO
1442Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
Krueger A.
6-3 6-3
Hontama M.
Krueger A.
662
Hontama M.
330

Ashlyn Krueger defeated Mai Hontama 6-3 6-3 in the Osaka semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Ashlyn Krueger came in ranked #102, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Ashlyn Krueger extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-24WimbledonSFgrassAshlyn Krueger6-3 5-7 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Krueger A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Hontama M.

Hontama M.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Krueger A.Hontama M.
37
Serve
7
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
1.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (173 vs 154). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
79
29
Break points saved·Dominant
87
27
Break points won·Slight edge
85
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
28
Tiebreaks·Even
66
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 91 days (−1.5)
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 149 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.5+282 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1442
8.5Overall Elo 1791
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1480
5.0
H2H
5.0
0.0
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
100

Krueger A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Hontama M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast