Ye Xin Ma vs Erika AndreevaWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#189WTA
1458ELO
1385Grass ELO
27 yrs
Last 10
LWLLLLLLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#238WTA
1553ELO
1444Grass ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWWWWW
Ma Y.
vs
Andreeva E.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Ma Y.28%
Andreeva E.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Andreeva E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.3Grass Elo 1385
Surface ELO
5.7+58 Grass Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1458
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1553
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0Last match 1h14m
Prev. match
7.0Hard → Grass
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Ma Y.Sliding

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

28 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ma Y.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Andreeva E.

Andreeva E.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Ma Y.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
66
Break points saved·Even
54
56
Break points won·Slight edge
80
86
Deciding sets·Even
75
77
Tiebreaks·
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Ma Y.: 21 days rest · Andreeva E.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.