Hayu Kinoshita vs Viktoriya Tomova — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
Kinoshita H.
Hayu Kinoshita faces Viktoriya Tomova in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Viktoriya Tomova holds the paper edge — ranked #174, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 70-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Tomova V. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Hayu Kinoshita comes in with 7 days of rest and 14 games in 14d, vs Viktoriya Tomova's 16 and 0.
- Stage: Viktoriya Tomova defends last year's round of 64.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadKinoshita H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d) · Tomova V.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.