Katarzyna Kawa vs Susan BandecchiWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#121WTA
1668ELO
1547Grass ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWLLLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#168WTA
1571ELO
1465Grass ELO
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWWLW
Kawa K.
vs
Bandecchi S.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Kawa K.78%
Bandecchi S.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kawa K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+82 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Grass Elo 1465
5.1Overall Elo 1668
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1571
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.45 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on grass
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
7.0Hard → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
44%
Break points saved·Even
54%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
2.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kawa K.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Bandecchi S.

Bandecchi S.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kawa K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
50
58
Break points saved·Dominant
16
54
Break points won·Clear edge
93
77
Deciding sets·Even
85
85
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
66

Kawa K.: 8 days rest · 5 matches (14d) · Bandecchi S.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.