Harmony Tan vs Tyra Caterina Grant — Wimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
Harmony Tan
FRA
Harmony Tan
#199WTA
1579ELO
1567Grass ELO
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWLWW
—
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
ITA
Tyra Caterina Grant
#173WTA
1671ELO
1511Grass ELO
18 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWLWW
Tan H.
vs
Grant T.

Harmony Tan faces Tyra Caterina Grant in the Wimbledon qualifying final on grass. Tyra Caterina Grant is the paper favourite — ranked #173 — but Harmony Tan rides a 3-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Tan H.44%
Grant T.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tan H.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Grant T.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+56 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Grass Elo 1511
4.2Overall Elo 1579
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1671
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.57 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Tan H.Cooling
Grant T.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
Tan H.Grant T.
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tan H.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Grant T.

Grant T.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Tan H.

Serve advantage — Grant T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Tan H.Grant T.
Freshness·Slight edge
73
80

Tan H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Grant T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
28°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Timofeeva M.[1]
Osuigwe W.
6-16-4
Rus A.
Podrez V.
4-64-6
Monnet C.
Prozorova T.
2-64-6
Watson H.
Sherif M.[21]
6-26-2
Krueger A.[2]
Knutson G.
7-57-5
Hontama M.
Urhobo A.
7-666-3
Iatcenko P.
Romero Gormaz L.
6-06-3
Bai Z.
Zidansek T.[26]
6-27-5
Korneeva A.
Shubladze A.
2-67-626-3
Brancaccio N.
Lazaro Garcia A.
3-64-6
Riera J.
D. Britton
2-66-26-4
Crawley F.
Sakatsume H.[19]
7-54-67-68
Wang X.
Guo H.
7-646-3
Radivojevic L.
Bassols Ribera M.
7-6102-66-77
Dolehide C.
Montgomery R.
4-66-71
Mcdonald E.
Kalieva E.[31]
6-36-744-6
Volynets K.[5]
Samson L.
7-656-1
Miyazaki Y.
Yaneva E.
2-64-6
Gorgodze E.
Valdmannova V.
6-27-62
You X.
Jeanjean L.[23]
6-42-63-6
Semenistaja D.[6]
Siskova A.
7-621-67-5
Hon P.
Hibino N.
2-62-6
Lepchenko V.
Gasanova A.
6-21-66-710
Fruhvirtova L.
Jones E.[29]
2-61-6
Quevedo K.[7]
Ishii S.
6-06-3
Papamichail D.
Liu C.
2-61-6
Tubello A.
Pridankina E.
2-60-6
Rajecki A.
Lamens S.[27]
3-65-7
Uchijima M.
Adeshina E.
1-66-35-7
Tan H.
Pohankova M.
7-632-66-1
Naef C.
Garland J.
6-35-74-6
Grant T.
Preston T.[18]
6-12-66-4
Sun L.[9]
Klimovicova L.
7-637-5
Pigossi L.
Dodin O.
5-74-6
Koevermans A.
Sawangkaew M.
3-66-14-6
Cross K.
Stoiana M.[25]
3-64-6
Galfi D.[10]
Jorge F.
6-753-6
Fita Boluda A.
Gjorcheska L.
2-64-6
Mikulskyte J.
Zhao C.
6-37-66
Inglis M.
Bronzetti L.[20]
3-66-34-6
Kudermetova P.[11]
Ponchet J.
1-66-26-3
Friedsam A.
Ngounoue C.
3-65-7
Rame A.
Uebelhoer C.
3-67-52-6
Mandlik E.
Charaeva A.[22]
2-64-6
Grabher J.[12]
Bolkvadze M.
4-66-76
Kinoshita H.
Tomova V.
7-56-3
Carle M.
Havlickova L.
7-55-76-4
Vandromme J.
Yuan Y.
4-66-06-2
Salkova D.[13]
Shymanovich I.
6-756-34-6
Minnen G.
Ferro F.
6-36-1
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
Ortenzi J.
Noha Akugue N.
Pigato L.[28]
7-626-3
Kawa K.[14]
Bandecchi S.
6-16-3
Giovannini L.
Stefanini L.
6-766-75
Ma Y.
Andreeva E.
0-63-6
Brace C.
Day K.[32]
4-63-6
Sasnovich A.[15]
Dunne K.
1-66-36-2
S. Hunter
Costoulas S.
7-56-4
Andreescu B.
Hercog P.
6-46-2
Masarova R.
Teichmann J.[24]
6-724-6
Sramkova R.[16]
Hruncakova V.
7-657-63
Ku Y.
Kostovic T.
1-64-6
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Lee C.
6-44-66-3
Barthel M.
Zhu L.[30]
4-63-6
Timofeeva M.
Podrez V.
Prozorova T.
Watson H.
3-4
Krueger A.
Hontama M.
6-3 0-0
Iatcenko P.
Bai Z.
Korneeva A.
Lazaro Garcia A.
6-26-757-5
Riera J.
Crawley F.
2-66-36-71
Wang X.
Bassols Ribera M.
Montgomery R.
Kalieva E.[31]
Volynets K.
E. Yaneva
6-1 2-0
Gorgodze E.
Jeanjean L.
3-6 1-4
Semenistaja D.
Hibino N.
6-4 1-4
Gasanova A.
Jones E.[29]
5-7 6-4 5-2
Quevedo K.
Liu C.
4-64-6
Pridankina E.
Lamens S.
7-54-66-3
Adeshina E.
Tan H.
2-62-6
Garland J.
Grant T.
4-64-6
Sun L.
Dodin O.
6-7106-75
Sawangkaew M.
Stoiana M.
2-66-47-5
Jorge F.
Gjorcheska L.
7-5 2-6 0-3
Mikulskyte J.
Bronzetti L.
3-6 3-4
Kudermetova P.
Ngounoue C.
Uebelhoer C.
Charaeva A.
Bolkvadze M.
Kinoshita H.
Carle M.
Vandromme J.
3-3
Shymanovich I.
Minnen G.
6-46-2
Sebov K.
Noha Akugue N.
6-45-77-5
Kawa K.
Stefanini L.
6-42-66-2
Andreeva E.
Day K.
2-62-6
Sasnovich A.
S. Hunter
5-7 2-0
Andreescu B.
Teichmann J.[24]
4-5
Sramkova R.[16]
Kostovic T.
4-4
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Zhu L.
2-63-6
—
—
Korneeva A.
Crawley F.
—
—
—
Liu C.
Pridankina E.
Tan H.
Grant T.
Dodin O.
Sawangkaew M.
—
—
—
Shymanovich I.
Sebov K.
Kawa K.
Day K.
—
—
Zhu L.