Justina Mikulskyte vs Lucia BronzettiWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#243WTA
1357ELO
1297Grass ELO
30 yrs
Last 10
WLLLWWWWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#127WTA
1594ELO
1471Grass ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWLWWW
Mikulskyte J.
vs
Bronzetti L.

Justina Mikulskyte faces Lucia Bronzetti in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Lucia Bronzetti holds the paper edge — ranked #127, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 170-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Lucia Bronzetti has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 52 vs 20).
  • Fatigue load: Lucia Bronzetti carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Stage: Lucia Bronzetti defends last year's round of 64.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.8Grass Elo 1297
Surface ELO
7.2+174 Grass Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1357
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1594
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
2.41 of last 5 on grass
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

30 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
54%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
49%
51%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mikulskyte J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Bronzetti L.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Mikulskyte J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
20
52
Break points saved·Dominant
25
74
Break points won·Even
81
84
Deciding sets·Clear edge
35
54
Tiebreaks·
48

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Bronzetti L.: 9 days rest · 5 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals