Justina Mikulskyte vs Lucia BronzettiWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#237WTA
1357ELO
1297Grass ELO
30 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#118WTA
1622ELO
1485Grass ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Mikulskyte J.
3-6 3-6
Bronzetti L.
Mikulskyte J.
330
Bronzetti L.
662

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Justina Mikulskyte in the semifinals of Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 6-3, 6-3. Bronzetti hit 4 aces and 3 double faults, while converting 67% of her break points and winning 71% of her first-serve points. Mikulskyte secured 2 service breaks but was ultimately outdone by Bronzetti, who secured 4 breaks.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-02-10W15 Sharm El Sheikh 2R32hardLucia Bronzetti6-1 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
54%
55%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
20
18
Break points saved·Slight edge
25
16
Break points won·Slight edge
81
73
Deciding sets·Slight edge
35
25
Tiebreaks·
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Mikulskyte J.17%
Bronzetti L.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bronzetti L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+17 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1466
3.5Overall Elo 1523
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1642
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
2.41 of last 5 on grass
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
65
78

Mikulskyte J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d) · Bronzetti L.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw