Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah vs Lin ZhuWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#170WTA
1499ELO
1424Grass ELO
20 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
Lin Zhu
CHN30
#133WTA
1674ELO
1545Grass ELO
32 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWW
Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
2-6 3-6
Zhu L.
Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
230
Zhu L.
662

Lin Zhu defeated Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah in the semifinals of Wimbledon, advancing with a 6-2, 6-3 victory. Zhu secured the win by converting 5 service breaks to her opponent's 1. This result sets up Zhu for the final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.8
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.26%
Zhu L.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zhu L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+19 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1480
3.8Overall Elo 1529
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1623
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Zhu L.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw