Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah vs Lin Zhu — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah faces Lin Zhu in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Lin Zhu holds the paper edge — defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 120-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Zhu L. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah 59 games in 14 days, Lin Zhu 35.
- Form trend: Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Lin Zhu's has cooled.
- Stage: Lin Zhu defends last year's round of 128.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadRakotomanga Rajaonah T.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Zhu L.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.