Katie Volynets vs Laura SamsonWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#99WTA
1768ELO
1606Grass ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWLWL
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#146WTA
1710ELO
1530Grass ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLWWWW
Volynets K.
vs
Samson L.

Katie Volynets faces Laura Samson in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Katie Volynets holds the paper edge — ranked #99, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 80-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Volynets K.68%
Samson L.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Volynets K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.0+76 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Grass Elo 1530
5.7Overall Elo 1768
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1710
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

31 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
77%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Volynets K.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Samson L.

Samson L.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Volynets K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
90

Volynets K.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 31 games (7d) · Samson L.: 9 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.