Celine Naef vs Joanna Garland — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
Naef C.
Celine Naef faces Joanna Garland in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Joanna Garland is the paper favourite — ranked #188 — but Celine Naef arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on grass to Joanna Garland's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Naef C. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Celine Naef comes in with 8 days of rest and 133 games in 14d, vs Joanna Garland's 15 and 0.
- Surface form: Celine Naef 3 of 4, Joanna Garland 1 of 4 on grass recently — Celine Naef the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadNaef C.: 8 days rest · 6 matches (14d) · Garland J.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.