Polina Kudermetova vs Clervie Ngounoue — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final
Kudermetova P.
Polina Kudermetova faces Clervie Ngounoue in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Polina Kudermetova holds the paper edge — ranked #116, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 170-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Kudermetova P. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Polina Kudermetova dropped the opening set before beating Jessika Ponchet 1–6 6–2 6–3.
- Stage: Polina Kudermetova defends last year's round of 128.
- Fatigue load: Polina Kudermetova carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadKudermetova P.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ngounoue C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.