Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final
Quevedo K.
Kaitlin Quevedo faces Claire Liu in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Kaitlin Quevedo holds the paper edge — ranked #106, a roughly 40-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Quevedo K. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Kaitlin Quevedo 47 games in 14 days, Claire Liu 0.
- Last match: Claire Liu dropped just 3 games past Despina Papamichail.
- Last match: Kaitlin Quevedo handed Sayaka Ishii a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–3 win.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadQuevedo K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Liu C.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.