Fiona Crawley vs Himeno SakatsumeWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#232WTA
1591ELO
1471Grass ELO
24 yrs
Last 10
LWLWWLWLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#125WTA
1605ELO
1444Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLLLWWL
Crawley F.
vs
Sakatsume H.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Crawley F.49%
Sakatsume H.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+27 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1444
4.6Overall Elo 1591
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1605
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.63 of last 9 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

13 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.8
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Crawley F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sakatsume H.

Sakatsume H.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Crawley F.

Serve advantage — Crawley F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Sakatsume H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.