Joanna Garland vs Tyra Caterina Grant — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final
Garland J.
Joanna Garland faces Tyra Caterina Grant in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Tyra Caterina Grant holds the paper edge — ranked #173, a roughly 40-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Grant T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Joanna Garland dropped the opening set before beating Celine Naef 3–6 7–5 6–4.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadGarland J.: 16 days rest · Grant T.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.