Yuriko Miyazaki vs Elizara YanevaWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
1388ELO
1354Grass ELO
30 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWWWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#201WTA
1515ELO
1433Grass ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLLLWL
Miyazaki Y.
vs
Yaneva E.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Miyazaki Y.26%
Yaneva E.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Yaneva E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.0Grass Elo 1354
Surface ELO
6.0+78 Grass Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1388
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1515
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
2.63 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.2Home country · 1/5 here
Country comfort
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

15 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.1
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Miyazaki Y.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Yaneva E.

Yaneva E.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Miyazaki Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
70

Miyazaki Y.: 15 days rest · Yaneva E.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.