Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales vs Jazmin OrtenziWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#181WTA
1596ELO
1434Grass ELO
27 yrs
Last 10
LWWWLWWLWL
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#158WTA
1530ELO
1411Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWLWLW
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
vs
Ortenzi J.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.70%
Ortenzi J.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Maristany Zuleta De Reales G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.3+23 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1411
5.9Overall Elo 1596
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1530
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0Last match 1h34m
Prev. match
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

30 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Even
46%
50%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
49%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.2
Double faults / match·Even
3.5
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

wins 56% of points on serve vs Ortenzi J.

Ortenzi J.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
57
50
Break points saved·Slight edge
29
36
Break points won·Slight edge
93
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
65
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Ortenzi J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.