Amelia Rajecki vs Suzan LamensWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#481WTA
1235ELO
1236Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWWLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#129WTA
1584ELO
1478Grass ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWWLWL
Rajecki A.
vs
Lamens S.

Amelia Rajecki faces Suzan Lamens in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Suzan Lamens holds the paper edge — ranked #129, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 240-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Rajecki A.13%
Lamens S.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Lamens S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Grass Elo 1236
Surface ELO
8.0+242 Grass Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1235
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1584
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.43 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
4.0Home country · 0/1 here
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Rajecki A.Cooling
Lamens S.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
6.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rajecki A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Lamens S.

Lamens S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rajecki A.

Serve advantage — Rajecki A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
83

Rajecki A.: 15 days rest · Lamens S.: 6 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.