Mai Hontama vs Akasha UrhoboWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#204WTA
1488ELO
1390Grass ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWWWL
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#176WTA
1592ELO
1497Grass ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLWLLW
Hontama M.
vs
Urhobo A.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Hontama M.20%
Urhobo A.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Urhobo A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.7Grass Elo 1390
Surface ELO
6.3+107 Grass Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1488
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1592
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.15 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.0Hard → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Urhobo A.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

30 vs 36 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
3.3
Double faults / match·Even
3.7
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hontama M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Urhobo A.

Urhobo A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Hontama M.

Serve advantage — Urhobo A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
96

Hontama M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Urhobo A.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.