Mariam Bolkvadze vs Hayu Kinoshita — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final
Bolkvadze M.
Mariam Bolkvadze defeated Hayu Kinoshita in the semifinals of Wimbledon, winning 6-3, 6-2 on the grass courts. Bolkvadze and Kinoshita were even in aces and double faults, but Bolkvadze won more points on her first serve and converted a higher percentage of break points. Bolkvadze won six service breaks to Kinoshita's two, securing her spot in the final.
Key context
- Match story: Mariam Bolkvadze dropped just 5 games past Hayu Kinoshita.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Kinoshita H. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadBolkvadze M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kinoshita H.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About