Harmony Tan vs Mia Pohankova — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
Tan H.
Harmony Tan faces Mia Pohankova in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Harmony Tan holds the paper edge — ranked #199, a roughly 30-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Pohankova M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Harmony Tan comes in with 10 days of rest and 90 games in 14d, vs Mia Pohankova's 7 and 74.
- Surface form: Harmony Tan 3 of 4, Mia Pohankova 2 of 4 on grass recently — Harmony Tan the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadTan H.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Pohankova M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.