Rebecca Sramkova vs Teodora KostovicWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#141WTA
1654ELO
1552Grass ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#146WTA
1532ELO
1441Grass ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
Sramkova R.
6-4 6-7 4-6
Kostovic T.
Sramkova R.
6641
Kostovic T.
4762

Teodora Kostovic defeated Rebecca Sramkova in the semifinals of Wimbledon, advancing with a 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 victory. Kostovic hit 10 aces and 5 double faults, while converting 33% of break points and winning 71% of first-serve points. Sramkova recorded 7 aces and 2 double faults, converting 38% of break points and winning 67% of first-serve points; both players earned 3 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Sramkova R.69%
Kostovic T.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sramkova R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Grass Elo 1491
Surface ELO
5.2+17 Grass Elo edge
5.6Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1552
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
86

Sramkova R.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d) · Kostovic T.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw