Rebecca Sramkova vs Teodora KostovicWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#136WTA
1634ELO
1542Grass ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWWWLLW
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#184WTA
1527ELO
1439Grass ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWWLWLL
Sramkova R.
vs
Kostovic T.

Rebecca Sramkova faces Teodora Kostovic in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Rebecca Sramkova holds the paper edge — ranked #136, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 100-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Sramkova R.77%
Kostovic T.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sramkova R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.3+103 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Grass Elo 1438
5.5Overall Elo 1634
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1527
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.3
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sramkova R.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kostovic T.

Kostovic T.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sramkova R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Sramkova R.: 19 days rest · Kostovic T.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
34°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 42%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Timofeeva M.
Podrez V.
Prozorova T.
Watson H.
Krueger A.
Hontama M.
Wang X.
Bassols Ribera M.
Montgomery R.
Kalieva E.
Gorgodze E.
Jeanjean L.
Kudermetova P.
Ngounoue C.
Uebelhoer C.
Charaeva A.
Bolkvadze M.
Kinoshita H.
Carle M.
Vandromme J.
Sasnovich A.
S. Hunter
Sramkova R.
Kostovic T.
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Zhu L.