Luisina Giovannini vs Lucrezia StefaniniWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#166WTA
1474ELO
1412Grass ELO
19 yrs
Last 10
LWWLLWWWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#163WTA
1538ELO
1497Grass ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLLLLW
Giovannini L.
vs
Stefanini L.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Giovannini L.30%
Stefanini L.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Stefanini L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Grass Elo 1412
Surface ELO
6.1+86 Grass Elo edge
6.6Overall Elo 1474
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
7.0Hard → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

35 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
76%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
55%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
52%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Giovannini L.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Stefanini L.

Stefanini L.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Giovannini L.

Serve advantage — Giovannini L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
90

Giovannini L.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Stefanini L.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.