Maria Lourdes Carle vs Lucie HavlickovaWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#234WTA
1473ELO
1361Grass ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWWLWL
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#209WTA
1558ELO
1483Grass ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWWLWL
Carle M.
vs
Havlickova L.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Carle M.19%
Havlickova L.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Havlickova L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.5Grass Elo 1361
Surface ELO
6.5+122 Grass Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1473
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1558
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.13 of last 8 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
50%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.7
6.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Carle M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Havlickova L.

Havlickova L.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Havlickova L.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.