Rebecca Sramkova vs Viktoria Hruncakova — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
Sramkova R.Rebecca Sramkova faces Viktoria Hruncakova in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Rebecca Sramkova is the paper favourite — ranked #136, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 100-point grass Elo advantage — but Viktoria Hruncakova has won their only previous meeting, though none on grass.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Sramkova R. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Rebecca Sramkova comes in with 18 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Viktoria Hruncakova's 5 and 33.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Rebecca Sramkova has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 72 vs 47).
- Head-to-head: Viktoria Hruncakova leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Prague 2021.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSramkova R.: 18 days rest · Hruncakova V.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-12 | Prague | R16 | clay | Viktoria Hruncakova | 6-4 7-5 |