Greet Minnen vs Fiona FerroWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#195WTA
1723ELO
1678Grass ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#187WTA
1672ELO
1488Grass ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWWWWL
Minnen G.
vs
Ferro F.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Minnen G.81%
Ferro F.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Minnen G. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
7.4+191 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Grass Elo 1488
5.2Overall Elo 1723
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1672
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.77 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
2.12 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Minnen G.Cooling
Ferro F.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
1.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Minnen G.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ferro F.

Ferro F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Minnen G.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
76
39
Break points saved·Dominant
80
36
Break points won·Slight edge
90
82
Deciding sets·Even
82
84
Tiebreaks·Dominant
77
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
79

Minnen G.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Ferro F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.