Iryna Shymanovich vs Greet Minnen — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final
Shymanovich I.
Iryna Shymanovich faces Greet Minnen in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Greet Minnen holds the paper edge — ranked #195, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 200-point grass Elo advantage. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Minnen G. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Greet Minnen has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 76 vs Iryna Shymanovich's 27).
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Iryna Shymanovich 26 games in 14 days, Greet Minnen 43.
- Last match: Greet Minnen dropped just 4 games past Fiona Ferro.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadShymanovich I.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Minnen G.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-01 | BJK Cup Finals RR: BLR vs BEL | RR | hard | Greet Minnen | 6-2 6-2 |