Julia Grabher vs Mariam BolkvadzeWimbledon Qualifying

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying
#118WTA
1624ELO
1409Grass ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWLLWL
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#539WTA
1479ELO
1397Grass ELO
28 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWWLWW
Grabher J.
vs
Bolkvadze M.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:22 UTC
Grabher J.76%
Bolkvadze M.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Grabher J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+12 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1397
6.6Overall Elo 1624
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1479
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.41 of last 6 on grass
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Prev. match
8.0Last match 1h44m
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Bolkvadze M.Stableearly

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Service points won·Even
54%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
50%
Break points saved·Even
47%
44%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
7.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Grabher J.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Bolkvadze M.

Bolkvadze M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Grabher J.

Serve advantage — Bolkvadze M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
60
48
Break points saved·Clear edge
39
17
Break points won·Even
91
89
Deciding sets·Even
86
90
Tiebreaks·
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
100

Grabher J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Bolkvadze M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.