Elizabeth Mandlik vs Alina Charaeva — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
Mandlik E.
Elizabeth Mandlik faces Alina Charaeva in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Alina Charaeva holds the paper edge — ranked #120, a roughly 50-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Charaeva A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Elizabeth Mandlik 82 games in 14 days, Alina Charaeva 95.
- Form trend: Elizabeth Mandlik's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Alina Charaeva's has cooled.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMandlik E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Charaeva A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.