Kayla Cross vs Mary Stoiana — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
Cross K.
Kayla Cross faces Mary Stoiana in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Mary Stoiana holds the paper edge — ranked #131, a roughly 280-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Stoiana M. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Kayla Cross comes in with 14 days of rest and 19 games in 14d, vs Mary Stoiana's 9 and 84.
- Surface form: Kayla Cross 1 of 4, Mary Stoiana 3 of 4 on grass recently — Mary Stoiana the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadCross K.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Stoiana M.: 9 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.