Despina Papamichail vs Claire LiuWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Round
#169WTA
1456ELO
1428Grass ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLWLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#145WTA
1640ELO
1499Grass ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWWWWW
Papamichail D.
vs
Liu C.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Papamichail D.21%
Liu C.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Liu C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Grass Elo 1428
Surface ELO
5.9+71 Grass Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1456
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1640
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.64 of last 7 on grass
Surface form
3.24 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
73%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
55%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
53%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Even
50%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.6
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Papamichail D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Liu C.

Liu C.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Papamichail D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
34
57
Break points saved·Dominant
16
64
Break points won·Clear edge
92
78
Deciding sets·Clear edge
58
76
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
61
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Papamichail D.: 20 days rest · Liu C.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.