Erika Andreeva vs Kayla Day — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
RUS
Erika Andreeva
#209WTA
1553ELO
1444Grass ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
USA32
Kayla Day
#127WTA
1595ELO
1420Grass ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLLW
Andreeva E.
2-6 2-6
Day K.
Andreeva E.
220
Day K.
662

Kayla Day defeated Erika Andreeva in the semifinals of Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 6-2, 6-2. Day secured four service breaks to Andreeva's zero, advancing to the next round.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Andreeva E.Day K.
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Andreeva E.Day K.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
39
Break points saved·Slight edge
56
66
Break points won·Even
86
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
77
18
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Andreeva E.46%
Day K.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Andreeva E.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Day K.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+12 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1484
4.7Overall Elo 1555
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1577
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.95 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Andreeva E.Day K.
Freshness·Dominant
100
63

Andreeva E.: 15 days rest · Day K.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
34°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw